Saturday, 16 February 2013

The Development of the Dot Com Bubble


There is a natural defect of the Com model. Loads of companies in the same field have the same business plan, which is mainly to seize the market by utilizing the network effect. It is obvious that usually there are few winners in the same field. And most of them will not succeed.

 

During that period, many companies used all sort of means to expand their customer base at great cost. Some companies just named themselves with a meaningless onomatopoeia (like Yahoo!), which aims to distinguish itself from the others. The 34th super bowl was held in 2000, which was sponsored by 17 internet corporations. Each spent more than $2M put their ads only in 30 seconds. At the other extreme, in 2001, it was only sponsored by 3 internet corporations.

 

It is no surprise that because of the market mania at the time, many companies began to spend money like water. They bought luxurious facilities, provide their stuff with gorgeous holidays and give their stuff options rather than cash. Many of them became very wealthy when having launched their IPOs. And they invest on the other internet corporations with their new wealth.

 

Almost all the cities in the US are building themselves with more networked workspace. They want to become the next Silicon Valley. Communication providers believe there will be a great demand for their product in the future and they tend to maintain a high leverage. As a result, companies that produce these facilities gained a lot, like Cisco. These all together formed a cycle. So on and so forth.

 

This is quite similar with what is happening in China now. In the spirit of ShanZhai (cheap copy?). Many internet companies are trying to become the next Facebook, Twitter or YouTube. They think there is a large potential market and they have accumulated much experience during the last decade. They think they have learnt enough from the lesson of dot com bubble. They think “this time, this situation, it is different”. They think …… All of this created a similar flavour of the past. We’ll look into details about it later. In my next blog, we will see the third stage: How the dot com bubbles burst.
 

 

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